Nature is fractal. Most things can be broken down into smaller parts that are similar to their larger origins. Small steps are always easier than larger steps. Things change, processes change, patterns change, systems change. Sometimes nature includes large jumps. They are infrequent but hugely impactful. Think asteroids. We cannot predict when they will happen. We can only know that they will happen. Don’t ignore the big one for lack of a finite prediction.
Life isn’t anything like what anyone says it is. Keep doubting the experts. They are being paid to guess at the future and will continue to do so for as long as people keep paying them. Great work if you can find it. People have always been willing to pay for lousy predictions. See the tarot card readers on Venice Beach and the financial advisors in the high rises behind them on Sunset Blvd? Everybody has got to eat, just don’t give them your dinner.
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